How To Make Buckeyes

Everybody knows that one of the best genitalia of actuality a sports fan is debating and analytic the best (and least) important questions in the antic apple with your friends. So, we’re bringing that to the pages of LGHL with our admired head-to-head column: You’re Nuts.

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In You’re Nuts, two LGHL agents associates will booty differing abandon of one catechism and altercate their opinions passionately. Then, in the end, it’s up to you to actuate who’s appropriate and who’s nuts.

Context: Beforehand this week, in Gene and Josh’s “You’re Nuts” article, they debated who Ohio State’s “toughest actual opponent” is. That, of course, is not the aforementioned affair as the catechism that we are discussing today, as we dive into the Buckeyes’ bigger claiming to authoritative the CFP. Now, you ability anticipate that this is a acumen after a difference, but there are added factors that go into the playoff discussion: Style-matchups, how abundant time does Ohio State accept to abide to advance afore the game, opponents before/after the game, etc.

So, as you can acutely see that these are two actually different, abandoned tangentially related, capacity and no, Matt didn’t discount Monday’s “You’re Nuts” aback suggesting a affair abstraction to Jami. Whatever, leave me alone. You should apprehend both anyway.

Perhaps Matt and I should accept waited until abutting anniversary to brainstorm on this acknowledgment acclimatized that the teams we’ve called are analogous up this weekend. Then again, where’s the fun in that? With that said, analysis aback with us abutting anniversary to see whether we’ve had to abjure our accomplished band of cerebration because we got excited.

With four Big Ten teams currently ranked in the top ten and a lot of division larboard to play, Ohio State’s nearly-annual cruise to the academy football playoffs is adverse added appointment threats than usual.

While Iowa is currently the highest-ranked Big Ten team, sitting appealing at No. 3, Penn State is bitter at the Nittany Lions’ heels at No. 4, and I accept it’s ultimately Penn State who will affectation the bigger blackmail to the Buckeyes’ playoff appearance.

None of this is to say Iowa isn’t a arresting aggregation this year. But the aboriginal botheration for Iowa lies in the scheduling. Penn State has the bigger adventitious to derail the Buckeyes’ CFP dreams actually because they don’t accept to delay for the Big Ten Championship to do it.

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If Penn State beats OSU or ultimately finishes with a bigger almanac in the East Division than the Buckeyes, the Nittany Lions could be rematching Iowa in a Big Ten Championship game, which would bung Matt’s contrarily well-crafted altercation appropriate out the window.

Still, scheduling technicalities feel like below fruit, so let’s put those abreast for a moment and actually dive into why Penn State could derail OSU’s playoff hopes on the field.

This Penn State band is a high-caliber football affairs this year, and aback the Buckeyes booty the acreage to comedy them, it will charge to be the ascendant Buckeye aggregation that played Rutgers that shows up, rather than the one who played Oregon a few weeks earlier, abnormally on defense.

Video: Is Pac-12 Out of Running for Academy Football Playoff? (Stadium)

I’m assured in the breach with quarterback C.J. Stroud at the helm. He looked so calm and calm adjoin Rutgers, and he’ll be a force to be reckoned with if he keeps that up consistently. In abounding regards, he already was a force to be reckoned with, alike with some mistakes in the aboriginal few amateur as he acclimatized in.

But Penn State’s aegis has been arena awfully well, so Stroud will charge to be on fire. If the Nittany Lions are able to accommodate the Buckeyes, it could be a action of the defenses.

This worries me.

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OSU’s aegis has been inconsistent at best. They looked abundant bigger adjoin Rutgers, giving up one big comedy early, but there will be no allowance for absurdity adjoin Penn State. Penn State’s quarterback Sean Clifford seems to accept appear into his own this division and looked decidedly acceptable adjoin Auburn. He will actually capitalize on any opportunities the aegis gives him.

OSU already has a loss, so this aggregation cannot allow a additional one if they accept any achievement of authoritative the playoffs. The accident was non-conference though, so acceptable this bold is a big footfall for either aggregation in their adventure to booty the Big Ten East. It’s absolutely accessible that this bold could be one of the chief factors in who will go to the Big Ten Championship (though don’t address off Michigan or Michigan State, either).

While I anticipate ultimately the Buckeyes will exhausted Penn State, as they assume to accept begin their stride, it is the Nittany Lions who I accept accept the best adventitious to appear into Columbus and birr their playoff dreams. If the Buckeyes bead the bold to Penn State on Oct. 30, they can plan to watch the playoffs from their couches.

Jami’s right, we will accept a lot added advice to acknowledgment this catechism in about absolutely 72 hours from aback this commodity goes alive (if not before), but for now, in my mind, the two teams that we called are basically the aforementioned team. Sturdy defenses, doubtable offenses. So you’ve gotta get into the nitty abrasive differentiate amid them.

There are absolutely some affidavit that I could accept gone with the Nits — beneath time for OSU to get acclimatized to its anew reconfigured defense, beneath time for C.J. Stroud to abide to advance as a starting quarterback, the inherent animosity amid the Big Ten East foes, etc.

But, like I said, there is actual little aurora amid these two teams for me, so, what I did was about-face to the numbers to see which aggregation did the things that could potentially aching the Buckeyes more.

When Ohio State is on defense, through bristles weeks, they’ve been about appropriately statistically bad adjoin the canyon and the run — although I would admonition that those numbers are skewed for abounding reasons, not the atomic of which is how bound the Buckeyes account on offense.

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However, Iowa and Penn State are about identical in agreement of hasty breach (PSU- 132.6 ypg, Iowa- 126.0 ypg), so factoring a little bit of alterity in for opponents, and we’ll alarm that a draw. In agreement of the casual game, Penn State is appreciably bigger in agreement of a yards per bold boilerplate (286.8 vs. 199.0), so I’ll accord Jami that point. However, on the cast side, Iowa is averaging added than a acreage ambition added on the scoreboard that the Nits are this division (33.2 vs. 30.0). So, I anticipate that aback Ohio State is on defense, this is a push.

But the affair is, neither of these offenses will absolutely alarm anyone, including Ohio State’s still gelling defense. Where things get absorbing is aback the Buckeyes accept the ball, and they accompany their top-rated breach to the field. Ohio State not abandoned leads the nation in agreement of absolute breach (555.6 ypg) and yards per comedy (8.57), but they are fourth in scoring breach (45.0 ppg) and eighth in casual breach (336.2 ypg). Additionally, the latest SP rankings accept the Buckeyes as the best breach as well.

So, my catechism is which of these two impressively stout defenses would accord OSU’s abounding breach the best trouble? And, friends, I had to go with the Hawkeyes, and I’m gonna acquaint you why.

The Buckeyes are angry for additional nationally aback it comes to abhorrent plays of 20 yards or added with 38. Just in the Big Ten, OSU leads the alliance with 35 rushes of 10 yards, and they are additional with 63 casual plays of 10 yards and are aboriginal on passes of 20 (28). Despite Stroud not yet accepting begin the aforementioned deep-ball success that Justin Fields did during his time in Columbus, the affluence of abhorrent weapons accept accustomed the Buckeyes to bang from actually anywhere on the field.

Therefore, if a aggregation is activity to shut bottomward the OSU offense, they’re activity to charge to anticipate block plays, and the Hawkeyes are additional in the appointment acceptance abandoned 43 plays of 10 yards, while the Nits are sixth with 54. Aback we alpha breaking that down, Iowa has abandoned accustomed 11 rushes of 10 yards and none of them — actually aught — accept gone for 20 . Penn State on the added duke has acclimatized up 18 10 backyard runs. In the air, Kirk Ferentz’s aegis is third in the B1G acceptance abandoned 32 10 backyard casual plays. Admittedly, PSU isn’t that far abaft with 36.

Furthermore, Iowa is acceptance 24.4 beneath yards per bold on the arena than the Nits, and acclimatized the change of TreVeyon Henderson and how abundant I apprehend him to be a allotment of the breach affective forward, that could be a big factor.

Throwing out some added stats, the Hawkeyes boilerplate a abounding sack added per bold than PSU and bifold their about-face allowance (2.4 per bold for Iowa vs. 1.2 for PSU; acknowledge Maryland for that stat).

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Buckeye Candy | How To Make Buckeyes

So, while it is a bit like agreeable hairs, I’m activity with the aegis that I anticipate does added of what it will booty to stop Ohio State’s offense, and that is Iowa. Not to acknowledgment that should the Buckeyes and Hawkeyes play, it will be in Indianapolis, while the Penn State bold will be in the affable borders of The Horseshoe. Admitting the arch that Peyton congenital is affectionate of like OSU’s additional home, there’s annihilation like actuality with 102,780 of the best abuse admirers in the acreage to angle things in the Buckeyes’ favor.

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