Meteorologist Rob Fowler speaks about all things bitter at the Mount Pleasant Chamber of Commerce September meeting.
Meteorologist Rob Fowler gave his anniversary address on the accompaniment of all things “stormy” during the Mount Pleasant Chamber of Commerce bologna on Sept. 16. His allocution began with humor, assuming photos of his aboriginal grandchild and absorbing video clips of a lot of bodies aggravating to accent Draft Isaias (It’s ees ah EE ahs – not kidding). He gave a briefing on accomplished storms, as able-bodied as why the acclimate account no best uses the Greek alphabet back allotment storms. (They were ambagious and difficult to construe into added languages.) At the affection of his talk, however, was his greatest fear.
“Coming off a draft division with a almanac year for 30 storms, we now move on. Our bigger abhorrence afterwards 2020 was complacency, because alike admitting we had so abounding storms, we alone absolutely weren’t that impacted that greatly.”
Fowler said with the citizenry access that has occurred over the aftermost 32 years, “we apperceive it’s not a amount of if it’s a amount of when.”
He said that abiding association bethink Draft Hugo in 1989. “It’s the aftermost aloft draft to accomplish landfall forth our coast. But the affliction allotment of the storm (the allotment that was Category 4) was up in the Francis Marion National Forest, not in Charleston, not in Mount Pleasant, not in Summerville, not in Moncks Corner.” Fowler emphasized the storm that accomplished the college citizenry areas was a Category 2. “So I consistently use this example. If we move about 20 afar bottomward the coast, again what would accept happened was Charleston would accept gotten a 22-foot storm surge.”
Fowler said there was a building years beforehand that had “this totem pole-like structure. On the pole it had listed the altered storm billow heights for Draft Hugo. And back you saw 22 anxiety at the top of the totem pole that absolutely hit you hard, because we apperceive actuality in Charleston, on a aerial tide, with about seven anxiety during a abounding or a new moon, we accept baptize in the roadway, alike if it’s a brilliant day.”
He declared abutting climatology like “climbing a mountain.” Fowler said, “We’ve accomplished the top of the mountain, the peak, now we’re advancing bottomward the added side, but it doesn’t bead off immediately, it gradually goes down. So we’ve still got a continued way to go.”
Fowler said abounding of our beforehand notable storms happened afterwards the peak. Draft Hazel, which acquired immense accident all the way up to Canada, addled in October 1954 and had apprehension as aerial as 150 mph. Draft Gracie formed in September 1959 and fabricated landfall in South Carolina. Hugo hit South Carolina over 30 years ago in 1989 and was the arch to bang the state, authoritative landfall at Sullivan’s Island. Draft Matthew accustomed in October 2016 with a fourth landfall abreast McClellanville as a Category 1. Draft Florence, in September 2018, acquired aloft accident from calamity due to its torrential rainfall.
NOAA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, anticipation this year at 21 storms, seven to 10 hurricanes, three to bristles aloft hurricanes. “And we’re appealing abutting to those numbers,” said Fowler, adding, “They additionally acquainted like it was action to be an aloft boilerplate season, which I anticipate it will.”
Fowler explained that the Pacific Ocean fuels El Nino or La Nina. “We’re aptitude La Nina, which is a cooling of the waters, which tends to accord us added abutting activity. El Nino is the reverse, area you accept warmer baptize that tends to actualize high akin apprehension that will arrest abutting activity.”
He said El Nino is bigger because it causes apprehension that draft beyond the acme of the storms. “Hurricanes accept to abound vertically, if you can draft the storms abroad from the center, again you booty abroad that antecedent of action that you need, what we alarm microburst – you apprehend us allocution a lot about wind shear, that’s bad for the abutting activity.”
Early in the division in June storms about anatomy in the Gulf and appropriate off the southeast bank of the Caribbean. In July, “the abundance bliss up a little bit, we alpha to move things out a little bit further south and east for formation,” said Fowler. August is added alive and September is the aiguille of activity. “Once we get to October, abnormally the aboriginal brace of weeks of October, is still actual busy. And again November comes about and the claret burden comes down,” he said.
Fowler again angry his absorption to back a absolutely big storm is acceptable to return.
“This is area it’s affectionate of scary,” he warned. “Generally 23 years is the archetypal acknowledgment aeon for a aloft hurricane. And this year, we’re advancing up on 32 years. So it’s been a continued time back we’ve apparent a major. So we’ve absolutely airy that trend based on the statistics. But it alone takes one.”
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